Harvard Caps Harris
October 11-13, 2024
5 Key Takeaways
Video Summary
Support for Israel remains strong overall but faces challenges among younger and Democratic voters. 81% of voters support Israel over Hamas, up from 79% in September. However, there's a significant generational divide, with younger voters (18-34) showing much less support (57-65%) compared to older voters (87-94% for 45+). Political affiliation also plays a role, with 25% of Democrats supporting Hamas compared to only 15% of Republicans.
While most Americans favor a conditional ceasefire and Hamas removal, younger generations and some Democrats diverge. 68% favor a conditional ceasefire based on hostage release and Hamas removal, with 81% saying Hamas should be removed from Gaza. However, younger generations and about a quarter of Democrats are more likely to support an unconditional ceasefire and leaving Hamas in place. There's a slight increase in support for Israel administering Gaza post-conflict (35%, up 3% from September).
The Israel-Hamas conflict is gaining attention but remains a low priority for most Americans. 62% of voters are following the Israel-Hamas war closely, up from 56% in September, with older voters paying more attention. However, only 6% consider it the most important issue facing America, and just 3% say it's the most important issue to them personally.
Americans, especially younger generations, show limited understanding of key regional actors in the Middle East. While 73% view Iran as a regional sponsor of terror and blame it more than Israel for escalating conflict, there's less certainty about Hezbollah. Only 52% recognize it as a terrorist organization, with significant uncertainty among younger Americans. This suggests a need for more education on regional dynamics and threats.
Americans hold nuanced views on media coverage and campus protests related to the conflict. 63% believe campus protests are primarily about saving lives in Gaza rather than supporting terrorists. Regarding media coverage, most Americans (64%) support challenging authors who appear to endorse terrorist activities, but also expect impartial reporting. There's a general skepticism towards media objectivity, with 56% believing network news departments are run by partisan activists.
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